{"id":4069,"date":"2026-10-12T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/?post_type=thuat_ngu&#038;p=4066"},"modified":"2026-10-14T09:31:51","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T02:31:51","slug":"phan-tich-do-nhay-sensitivity-analysis","status":"publish","type":"thuat_ngu","link":"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/thuat-ngu\/phan-tich-do-nhay-sensitivity-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/h2>\n<p>M\u1ecdi ph\u00e9p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn: x\u1eed l\u00fd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu th\u1ebf n\u00e0o, c\u00f3 gi\u1eef c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u d\u1ecb bi\u1ec7t (outliers) hay kh\u00f4ng, d\u00f9ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea n\u00e0o. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i ph\u00e9p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 xem k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u00f3 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1eefng. Theo Thabane v\u00e0 cs. (2013), n\u1ebfu sau khi l\u00e0m ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 v\u1eabn nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u00ednh th\u00ec k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 hay k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 v\u1eefng (robust).<\/p>\n<h2>Khi n\u00e0o c\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y?<\/h2>\n<p>B\u00e0i h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn c\u1ee7a Thabane v\u00e0 cs. (2013) cho th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m l\u00e2m s\u00e0ng n\u00eau nhi\u1ec1u t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u1ecb bi\u1ec7t:<\/strong> k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed5i khi lo\u1ea1i ho\u1eb7c gi\u1eef c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c sai l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u1ec1 c\u01b0\u01a1ng:<\/strong> so s\u00e1nh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch theo \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ecb (intention-to-treat) v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch theo \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c nh\u1eadn.<\/li>\n<li><strong>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu:<\/strong> so s\u00e1nh ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ca \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00f3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh b\u00f9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c:<\/strong> th\u1eed c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1c nhau khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>M\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 trong b\u00e0i: \u1edf th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m methotrexate cho b\u1ec7nh vi\u00eam kh\u1edbp v\u1ea3y n\u1ebfn, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ca \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c ranh gi\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch theo \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ecb c\u00f3 b\u00f9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng th\u1ea5y c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n (Thabane v\u00e0 cs., 2013).<\/p>\n<h2>Gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady khoa h\u1ecdc<\/h2>\n<p>Khi m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y v\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ecdc c\u00f3 th\u00eam c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u1ec3 tin r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch x\u1eed l\u00fd s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u. D\u00f9 v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y ch\u01b0a ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn: khi kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 b\u00e1o th\u00e1ng 1\/2012 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed y khoa v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf y t\u1ebf l\u1edbn, Thabane v\u00e0 cs. (2013) th\u1ea5y ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 26,7% (36\/135) b\u00e0i c\u00f3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y. Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean d\u00f9ng ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ecdn ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 &#8220;\u0111\u1eb9p nh\u1ea5t&#8221;. Vi\u1ec7c th\u1eed nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1ed3i ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u00e1ch cho k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 mong mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0n trong b\u00e0i <a href=\"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/p-hacking-la-gi-vi-sao-nghien-cuu-thong-ke-van-co-the-sai\/\">P-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec<\/a>. Xem th\u00eam <a href=\"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/hai-nghien-cuu-cho-ket-qua-trai-nguoc\/\">v\u00ec sao hai nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nhau<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? C\u00e1ch ki\u1ec3m tra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00f3 v\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng khi \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ngo\u1ea1i lai.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","nhom_thuat_ngu":[476],"class_list":["post-4069","thuat_ngu","type-thuat_ngu","status-publish","hentry","nhom_thuat_ngu-nghien-cuu-bang-chung"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? - Dy Khoa Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? C\u00e1ch ki\u1ec3m tra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00f3 v\u1eefng kh\u00f4ng khi \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thi\u1ebfu, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ngo\u1ea1i lai.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/thuat-ngu\/phan-tich-do-nhay-sensitivity-analysis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? - Dy Khoa Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u1ea1y (sensitivity analysis) l\u00e0 g\u00ec? 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