{"id":2025,"date":"2026-10-12T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T01:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/?post_type=thuat_ngu&#038;p=2025"},"modified":"2026-10-13T23:19:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T16:19:23","slug":"p-hacking-thao-tung-chi-so-p","status":"publish","type":"thuat_ngu","link":"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/thuat-ngu\/p-hacking-thao-tung-chi-so-p\/","title":{"rendered":"P-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tr\u1ecb s\u1ed1 p nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n 0,05 th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u1ea5m v\u00e9 \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 &#8220;c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea&#8221;. P-hacking x\u1ea3y ra khi nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u thu th\u1eadp ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ecdn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, c\u00e1ch ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho t\u1edbi khi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a (Head v\u00e0 cs., 2015).<\/p>\n<h2>P-hacking th\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/h2>\n<p>Head v\u00e0 cs. (2015) n\u00eau c\u00e1c c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Xem k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 gi\u1eefa ch\u1eebng:<\/strong> ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u khi th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m \u0111ang ch\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 thu th\u1eadp th\u00eam hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110o nhi\u1ec1u, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u00edt:<\/strong> ghi nh\u1eadn nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn k\u1ebft c\u1ee5c r\u1ed3i ch\u1ecdn bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o sau khi \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch.<\/li>\n<li><strong>T\u00f9y \u00fd lo\u1ea1i ngo\u1ea1i lai:<\/strong> quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef hay b\u1ecf gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng sau khi \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3.<\/li>\n<li><strong>D\u1eebng khi &#8220;\u0111\u1eb9p&#8221;:<\/strong> ng\u1eebng kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ngay khi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t tr\u1ecb s\u1ed1 p c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>V\u00ec sao p-hacking t\u1ea1o ra k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 sai m\u00e0 v\u1eabn tr\u00f4ng thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c?<\/h2>\n<p>Simmons v\u00e0 cs. (2011) minh h\u1ecda b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh phi l\u00fd: sau khi nghe b\u00e0i &#8220;When I&#8217;m Sixty-Four&#8221; c\u1ee7a The Beatles, ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn tr\u1ebb h\u01a1n g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t tu\u1ed5i r\u01b0\u1ee1i so v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m nghe b\u00e0i \u0111\u1ed1i ch\u1ee9ng (tu\u1ed5i trung b\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9nh 20,1 so v\u1edbi 21,5; p = 0,040). K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 nh\u1edd linh ho\u1ea1t trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch. M\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m cho th\u1ea5y khi k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p b\u1ed1n ki\u1ec3u linh ho\u1ea1t nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00ednh gi\u1ea3 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 60,7% thay v\u00ec m\u1ee9c danh ngh\u0129a 5%.<\/p>\n<p>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch khai th\u00e1c v\u0103n b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a Head v\u00e0 cs. (2015) cho th\u1ea5y p-hacking ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn trong khoa h\u1ecdc, nh\u01b0ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn r\u00fat ra t\u1eeb ph\u00e2n t\u00edch g\u1ed9p. Xem th\u00eam b\u00e0i <a href=\"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/p-hacking-la-gi-vi-sao-nghien-cuu-thong-ke-van-co-the-sai\/\">p-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec, v\u00ec sao nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 sai<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p<\/h2>\n<h3>P-hacking c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 gian l\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng?<\/h3>\n<p>Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u1ed1 \u00fd. Simmons v\u00e0 cs. (2011) cho r\u1eb1ng h\u00e0nh vi n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh x\u1ea5u m\u00e0 t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c th\u1eed nhi\u1ec1u c\u00e1ch ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 th\u00f3i quen ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n<h3>L\u00e0m sao h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf p-hacking?<\/h3>\n<p>Trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u Simmons v\u00e0 cs. (2011) \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t: t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 ph\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh quy t\u1eafc d\u1eebng thu th\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc, li\u1ec7t k\u00ea m\u1ecdi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e3 \u0111o, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m v\u00e0 tr\u00ecnh b\u00e0y k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ea3 khi gi\u1eef l\u1eabn khi lo\u1ea1i c\u00e1c quan s\u00e1t. S\u1ef1 minh b\u1ea1ch n\u00e0y gi\u00fap ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ecdc hi\u1ec3u v\u00ec sao <a href=\"https:\/\/dykhoa.com\/blog\/hai-nghien-cuu-cho-ket-qua-trai-nguoc\/\">hai nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec? Nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch n\u1eafn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t p d\u01b0\u1edbi 0,05, th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m &#8216;tr\u1ebb ra nh\u1edd nghe nh\u1ea1c Beatles&#8217; v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch gi\u1edbi khoa h\u1ecdc h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 d\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00ednh gi\u1ea3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","nhom_thuat_ngu":[476],"class_list":["post-2025","thuat_ngu","type-thuat_ngu","status-publish","hentry","nhom_thuat_ngu-nghien-cuu-bang-chung"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>P-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec? - Dy Khoa Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"P-hacking l\u00e0 g\u00ec? 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